The problem is that there really aren't any to survey. How many top-notch pianists, gymnasts, ballet dancers, violinists, skateboardists and golfers do you know who learned their craft after the age of 20 or so?
Adult Prodigies are like Dark Matter. They can't be observed. But it explains their absence and now the books balance.
According to people who read Talent Books its really easy to become an expert and there are no obstacles. Brain structures has no bearing and you can re-arrange your brain at will. The problem though is the extreme lack of physical presence of these geniuses, young or old.
"Dark Matter Prodigies © ". It makes sense.
Um, i'm surprised nobody's mentioned this but look at Richter (27), Paderweski (22), etc... Those people skipped the child prodigy part and went straight to virtuoso in less than a year.
Other than those claims are not true, even if it they were true that it an incredibly
rare event. How someone can use isolated cases as examples to
what is normal is beyond logic.
Since when did a one in a million, two million, three million etc become good odds?
But they get converted into Dark Energy by level 5 so they can't be observed. Just having a laugh.

Initial progress is one thing but that doesn't guarantee unlimited progress. I don't know what level 4 equates to. I'm talking about the level where people buy your cd and you're playing those Chopin Etude at Carnegie etc and winning competitions and the
attention isn't from "novelty" from "quick initial progress for your age", an accident (car crash/lightning) that re-wired your brain etc.
I've also observed that adults who start piano from scratch, but have a prior childhood musical background in something else, are also more advanced and learn quicker.
Here's an excerpt from that same article:
Ullén hopes to continue by studying a group of pianists who practiced as children but then stopped playing. His objective is to investigate whether the effects on the pyramidal pathways are lifelong effects, or whether they require perseverant lifelong practicing to be maintained.
Yes. But it doesn't make the late-starters happy though. For you it will.
Brain structure is a factor too. A musician's brain has a profile...
http://www.jneurosci.org/cgi/content/full/jneuro;23/27/9240
Going even further.....notice this..
"Although some of these
multiregional differences could be attributable to innate predisposition....
Gottfried Schlaug and Ellen Winner are working on this at the moment.
"I would bet anything that the most gifted children, the ones with the most potential in music
start out with brains that are structurally different. Ellen Winner. My Brilliant Brian (Documentary about pianist Marc Yu) He played at Carnegie with Lang Lang this year (or last year).
http://video.google.com/videoplay?docid=-1955232874558919934#Anyway the last people I remember to be gifted were let downs. Angry Girl and Philospher.